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Global Trade Review profiles Ukraine's grain sector, noting its exports rose even through the 2014 conflict and that the 2018 harvest exceeded 68 million tonnes. The government aims to raise output by about two-thirds and open new export markets.
Long-term output growth in Ukraine expands global wheat and corn supply, a structural bearish factor for prices, though infrastructure and conflict risks limit near-term impact.
gtreview.comEleanor WraggJan 21, 2019After 69 past bearish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.6% to +0.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
