
The U.S. dollar hit a two-month high and long-dated Treasury yields swung sharply after the Fed surprised markets by signaling faster interest rate increases. Global stock markets weakened as a result.
A stronger dollar and higher rate expectations tend to weigh on dollar-priced commodities and emerging-market currencies, pressuring feed ingredient prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Hawkish Fed surprise lifted the dollar to a two-month high and weighed on risk assets, reducing commodity demand appeal.