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Minutes from the Fed's January meeting show most FOMC members want a plan to end balance sheet reduction announced soon. Some members still see further rate increases possible in 2019.
Signals of an end to balance sheet runoff and possible hikes create mixed dollar signals, with limited direct impact on feed commodities.
After 23 past neutral report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.2% to +0.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.