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Russian state-controlled VTB bank agreed to buy 100 percent of the Novorossiysk Grain Terminal from NSCP, a Transneft-controlled entity, giving it a second terminal stake at Russia's main deep-sea grain hub. VTB's CEO said NSCP will no longer handle grain.
Traders saw the move as a sign of growing state involvement and speculated Russia could limit exports later in the 2018/19 season.
Greater state control over Novorossiysk terminals could tighten Russian export flows and support Black Sea wheat export prices if government restricts shipments. Buyers should watch for export quota or limit signals.
marinelink.comPolina Devitt, Michael HoganFeb 14, 2019After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 37 past bullish policy events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -3.4% to +2.0%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
