
Goldman Sachs' Jeff Currie said OPEC and allies will likely rebalance the oil market by April, with the group withholding about 1.2 million bpd. He noted OPEC is cutting output faster than expected and Venezuelan supply is falling.
OPEC will need to outline plans to lift curbs by May or June.
Expected market rebalancing supports crude prices in the near term, but a clear exit plan from output cuts could bring supply back and cap prices later in 2019.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.