
Urea export prices rose from steady levels, with FOB North America reaching about $285/ton, CIS around $255-260, and Southeast Asia, including China, around $290-295. India secured only 370,000 tons of its needs and is returning to buy again, while Pakistan faces a deficit of about 100,000 tons.
India's and Pakistan's import deficits support global urea demand at a time of limited Chinese exports, which keeps international urea prices firm. Continued import tenders would sustain upward pressure on nitrogen prices.
After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.