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Stillwater Associates looks at how compliant very low sulfur fuel oil (VLSFO) will be priced under IMO 2020, with the implementation date less than ten months away. The analysis covers spot and futures price data sources and how surrogate futures prices have moved over the past year.
Price differentials between compliant marine fuels and crude or distillate benchmarks will shape the cost of shipping grain and feed ingredients. The magnitude and duration of these effects remain uncertain.
shipandbunker.comApr 2, 2019After 27 past neutral policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -4.3% to +2.6%), and -4.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
