Low-sulphur gasoil futures traded at a $74.03 per barrel premium to Brent crude by 1745 GMT, down 21 cents from the prior close. Northwest European diesel inventories provided support, while new Chinese fuel export quotas raised supply concerns.
Diesel price moves feed into freight and processing costs, and Chinese export quotas could tighten global fuel supply and lift energy costs for feed logistics.
After 27 past neutral policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -4.3% to +2.6%), and -4.6% over 20.
After 175 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.