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Global wheat values are being driven by supply, with the northern hemisphere crop looking good overall. The USDA reported US spring wheat only 2% planted against a 13% average, while winter wheat was 6% headed versus 9% normally.
Warmer weather is expected to speed planting.
A large northern hemisphere crop outlook tends to cap wheat prices and reduces the appeal of wheat for feed relative to other grains. Delayed US spring planting is a modest upside risk that markets may already be discounting.
grainbrokers.com.auApr 23, 2019After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 70 past bearish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and -1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
