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The loonie has fallen for a fourth straight month against the U.S. dollar, trading near 1.35 per dollar. National Bank cites a widening current account deficit, falling oil prices, and weak capital inflows, while a CIBC report flags U.S. threats of a 5% tariff on Mexican imports.
A softer loonie and lower oil prices together weigh on Canadian export earnings and shift the cost of Canadian feed and oilseed exports, with the Mexico tariff threat adding trade uncertainty for North American grain flows.
advisor.caofficebureauMay 31, 2019Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
