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Argentina's President Macri needs a large autumn harvest worth over US$20 billion in export revenue to revive the economy before October elections. Soybean prices remain near multiyear lows amid the US-China trade war, limiting the windfall from big bean and corn crops.
The article notes the 2018 drought and recession that weighed on the economy.
Argentine farmers' selling decisions depend on depressed soybean prices, and a weak peso encourages exports, so meal and oil supply could stay ample and cap prices.
batimes.com.arJames GraingerMay 16, 2019After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
