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Paul Aho's commentary says Chinese 25% tariffs are shifting soybean production to South America and reducing US soybean acreage in favor of corn. He expects soybean prices to rise worldwide after a period of low prices and corn to move higher in the crop year.
Tariff-driven shifts in acreage and trade flows shape corn and soybean meal supply, and the forecast of rising grain prices bears on feed costs for buyers.
zootecnicainternational.comZootecnicaJun 15, 2019After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
