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Texas A&M's Department of Animal Science explains African swine fever, which kills pigs with no treatment or vaccine, and warns it could devastate the US swine herd if introduced. The disease is not present in the United States and does not affect human health.
The article reviews the disease's history and spread, including the Chinese outbreak and cases in Mongolia, Vietnam and Japan.
This is background explainer content with no new supply event, so it has little direct price effect, though the risk of introduction into the US is a longer-term concern for hog prices.
animalscience.tamu.eduJun 1, 2019After 645 past disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 615 past disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
