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Rabobank's Q3 Pork Quarterly says African swine fever is cutting pork output in Asia, with China's herd loss estimated above 40%. It says China's pork prices are rising, while large frozen meat inventories weigh on returns elsewhere.
Sino-US trade talks could allow China to review tariffs on US pork.
Heavy herd losses in China point to firmer global pork import demand and support hog prices, though frozen stocks limit the upside.
meatpoultry.comRyan McCarthyJul 30, 2019After 177 past bullish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
