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CoBank economist Krissa Welshans estimates that African swine fever will create a protein deficit in three to six months. The article text provided is only a brief author bio, so the specific data behind the estimate is not shown.
A forecast protein shortfall from ASF in Asia would lift demand for other animal proteins and feed ingredients, supporting hog, poultry and meal prices over the coming months.
feedstuffs.comKrissa WelshansJul 25, 2019After 177 past bullish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 67 past bullish disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
