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The euro surged to $1.0854 on Thursday, its highest since November 6, as German fiscal expansion clouded the European Central Bank outlook. Tariff worries had weighed on the euro in February near $1.01.
Expectations of German spending and possible ECB policy shifts drive currency moves that feed into dollar-priced feed commodities and import costs for European buyers.
reuters.comYoruk BahceliMar 6, 2025After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
German fiscal expansion pushed EUR/USD to $1.0854 and clouded the ECB outlook, directly driving the euro's surge during the window.
Euro hit $1.0854 on German fiscal expansion, extending dollar losses by currency repricing.
