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The Canadian dollar reached a new six-year high against the US dollar as the Fed signalled a possible reduction in stimulus by August. The US dollar gained briefly after the April FOMC minutes, then gave back most of that gain.
Scotiabank analysts also commented on gold and Canadian housing demand.
Expectations of Fed tapering and a weaker dollar tend to support commodity prices and raise import costs for dollar-based buyers outside the US. Shifts in the currency can change export margins for Canadian grain and oilseed sellers.
gbm.scotiabank.comMay 25, 2021After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
