US lean hog futures rose to their highest in over a week on Thursday after China's commerce ministry said both sides were discussing a September round of trade talks. Trump said talks were scheduled at a different level, without details.
Traders hope a deal would lift Chinese pork imports, which are needed due to African swine fever.
Hopes of a US-China deal raise expectations of stronger Chinese pork demand for US hogs, supporting hog prices, though no agreement exists yet.
After 85 past bullish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.8% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.8% to +4.5%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.