US lean hog futures rose modestly on technical buying and hopes China will step up purchases of US farm goods under the Phase 1 trade deal. Traders expect more US pork purchases as China faces meat shortages from African swine fever.
Coronavirus measures have also restricted pig transport and slaughter restarts in China.
Expected Chinese pork purchases under the Phase 1 deal support US hog prices, and the shortage in China adds underlying demand.
After 85 past bullish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.8% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.8% to +4.5%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.