U.S. confirms light soy, wheat, pork sales to China before latest tariff threats

After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.

• Apr 12, 2023USDA Reports Confirm the Tight U.S. Wheat Balance Sheet+9.0%
• Apr 12, 2023The USDA raised its consumption forecast and lowered its estimate of wheat stocks, but prices continued to fall+9.0%
• May 23, 2024China's imports to determine prices | The Western Producer-7.4%
• Apr 10, 2026USDA Raises Wheat, Corn and Soy Price Estimates - Farm Policy News+3.8%
• Apr 13, 2017Weekly wheat exports top most estimates - Brownfield Ag News-1.5%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Dec 13, 2018USDA confirms U.S. soybean sales to China; soy futures fall-2.2%
• Aug 1, 2019U.S. confirms small soybean sale to private Chinese buyer-1.8%
• Nov 3, 2016Biggest threat to forests, beef lags in push to cut supply chain deforestation+0.5%
• Jun 16, 2016USDA exports - Soybean sales up as China buys-1.6%
• Aug 1, 2026Soybean prices need poor weather, exports to China-1.3%