
The Central Bank of Brazil voted unanimously to cut the Selic rate by 50 basis points to 5.50%, the second consecutive cut and a record low. The committee cited a gradual economic recovery, a global slowdown and continuing domestic reforms.
Lower domestic rates weaken the real and can make Brazilian commodity exports more price-competitive. The move reinforces the currency pressure that tends to support USD-denominated export prices for soybeans and meal.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.