
The euro rose to a 17-day high against the dollar on Friday after the ECB cut its deposit rate to -0.5% and restarted bond purchases at €20 billion a month. Investors read the move as the final stimulus step, pushing German bond yields higher and the pound to a seven-week high.
Markets treating the ECB as finished easing lifts the euro and weakens the dollar, a move that can firm dollar-priced commodities in Europe while pressuring US export competitiveness.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.