Malaysian palm oil inventories rose 9.3% in September from August to 2.4 million tonnes, the first monthly gain in seven months and the highest in five months. September output rose 1.2% to 1.8 million tonnes but was below expectations, while exports fell 18.8% on lower Indian demand after India raised its refined palm oil tax.
Rising stockpiles and weaker export demand add bearish pressure on palm oil prices. Traders expect stocks to keep building into November, which weighs on vegetable oil values.
After 96 past bearish report events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.