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A Dutch member of the European Parliament said the EU will proceed with phasing out palm oil-based biofuel by 2030 despite threats of retaliation from Indonesia and Malaysia. Both countries have warned of restricting European imports and possibly filing a WTO complaint.
The policy is justified by deforestation and emissions concerns.
The EU phase-out removes a future demand outlet for palm-based biofuel, which is bearish for palm oil over the long term. Threatened retaliation by Indonesia and Malaysia adds trade risk for palm and vegetable oil flows.
news.mongabay.comHans Nicholas JongOct 15, 2019After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 196 past neutral policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
