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Brazil's central bank stepped into the market to support the real after USD/BRL reached an all-time high. The dollar stayed broadly firm on mixed sentiment, and ING expects the Brazilian central bank to need further action to stabilise the currency.
Trade-deal optimism between the US and China was noted but had not weakened the dollar.
Intervention to defend the real slows the currency's slide, which helps limit the rise in Brazil's import costs for feed ingredients and fuel. Continued dollar strength would still keep pressure on Brazilian export competitiveness.
think.ing.comFrancesco PesoleNov 27, 2019After 213 past bearish macro events, USDBRL moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
