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ING analysts say the Brazilian real has lagged despite a weaker dollar, citing fiscal concerns tied to the incoming Lula administration's plan to exceed the spending ceiling. They forecast USD/BRL weakening to 5.15 and favor the Mexican peso into 2023.
A weaker real makes Brazilian exports cheaper in dollars, which can encourage Brazilian soybean, corn and meal selling and pressure dollar prices for these commodities.
think.ing.comChris TurnerDec 13, 2022After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
