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On August 11, 2023, USDA's August reports were released, with December corn settling down 9 cents and November soybeans down 10.75 cents. Wheat hit multi-week lows, with HRW reaching a nine-week low.
Cotton rallied to a near one-year high after the reports.
USDA's August estimates cut US crop expectations, but the market largely judged them neutral, so grain prices ended lower. Wheat weakness reflected the broader selling pressure.
profarmer.comPro Farmer EditorsAug 11, 2023After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
