The Sask Wheat weekly outlook reports the International Grains Council raised its August estimate of world wheat production by 1 million tonnes to 763 million tonnes, about one million tonnes above the prior year. The report also notes trade estimates changed alongside production.
A larger world wheat crop adds supply pressure on export prices, which keeps benchmark bids for Canadian and other wheat under pressure.
After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.