Loading…
BMO's North American Harvest Report says global crop markets will stay oversupplied near term despite a leaner harvest. US composite crop yields are tracking about 3% below trend, the first sub-trend reading since 2013.
Benchmark crop prices remain near decade lows.
Oversupply and trade hostilities stranding product in North America keep benchmark grain and oilseed prices weak, which lowers feed ingredient costs for buyers despite the smaller crop.
economics.bmo.comAaron Goertzen , CFANov 26, 2019After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
