
The dollar fell to near its July lows on December 30, 2019, with the dollar index down about 0.23% at 96.72. Investors favored riskier currencies on US-China trade optimism and Fed balance sheet expansion, and the US trade deficit narrowed more than expected in November.
A softer dollar supports dollar-priced commodities and boosts demand from importers whose currencies firm against the greenback, which underpins feed grain and oilseed prices.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.