The dollar fell toward a second weekly loss as hopes for a US fiscal stimulus package and a likely Biden win supported riskier assets. Talks between Pelosi and Mnuchin had resumed after Trump ended them.
A weaker dollar on stimulus expectations makes dollar-priced commodities cheaper for foreign buyers, supporting grain and oilseed prices.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.