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European ULSD supply is short ahead of next week's IMO 2020 bunker sulfur ban. French strike action threatens to shut a significant share of the region's refining capacity.
Refinery strikes in France cut European diesel output, pushing diesel prices up. Higher fuel costs feed into shipping and trucking expenses for feed importers.
After 113 past bullish logistics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -2.8% to +4.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.