
Marketplace maps state-level Market Facilitation Program payments, with Illinois receiving about $1.77 billion through November 1, 2019. The article notes Illinois and Iowa were heavily exposed to Chinese retaliatory tariffs on soybeans, cotton and pork.
Regional concentration of trade aid shows where US soybean and feed production is most protected from tariff losses, which affects where supply stays available at harvest.
After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.