China Back in the Market for U.S. Farm Goods After Waivers

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Nov 8, 2025Here’s what the U.S.-China trade truce really means for the U.S. soybean market — and for farmers - MarketWatch+1.0%
• Mar 7, 2019China's Shopping List in America Has These Farm Goods at the Top - Bloomberg-0.1%
• Jun 23, 2026U.S. fights with Brazil for China's giant soybean market-0.6%
• Jun 12, 2017How the World's Farmers Went to Work for China-0.3%
• May 13, 2025US farmers say Brazil keeps edge in China's soy market despite trade truce | Reuters-1.4%

After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.

• Nov 6, 2025China begins limited purchases of U.S. farm goods after Trump-Xi meet | Reuters-4.0%
• May 17, 2017China the hero market for Australian barley and wheat - Grain Central+3.0%
• Oct 29, 2026Market Snapshot | Wheat firms as China inquires about buying U.S. SRW wheat - Pro Farmer-0.4%
• Feb 19, 2020China Sets Up Duty Waivers for U.S. Commodity Purchases - Caixin Global-1.6%
• Jan 14, 2020'Canada should be worried': Canadian exporters may become collateral damage of U.S-China trade deal - Financial Post-0.1%