
Grainmart News reports that India's wheat production could reach a new high in 2020 after record monsoon rains. It cites a 102.19 million tonne crop in 2019 and wheat stocks of 37.4 million tonnes as of November 1, 13% above the prior year.
Higher MSP support is also cited as a factor.
Expectations of a record Indian crop and large stocks point to ample supply for exporters, which is bearish for wheat prices.
After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.