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Lean hog futures rallied sharply as open interest surged after weekly pork export data showed large purchases by Mexico and China. Analysts questioned whether the data was accurate or reflected catch-up reporting from previous weeks.
Export-driven demand and uncertainty over the data are pushing hog futures higher, with bearish producers facing losses on hedges and possible volatility ahead.
archerfinancials.comDennis SmithFeb 16, 2024After 85 past bullish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.8% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.8% to +4.5%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Open interest surged on the hog rally on the export data, signaling new buying; analyst doubts about the data add some uncertainty.
