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StoneX's Josh Linville says phosphate supplies are tight and demand has not yet weakened, so prices should hold or rise. Sulfur and ammonia costs have surged, and phosphate production costs are up about 200% since summer 2020.
Russian and Chinese exports remain largely blocked, though talk of demand destruction is growing.
Restricted Chinese and Russian phosphate exports keep supply tight, supporting DAP and phosphate rock prices. Buyers are advised to delay forward purchases, as the price risk remains upward while demand holds.
stonex.comJosh LinvilleApr 1, 2022After 151 past bullish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
