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StoneX's February 2024 phosphate outlook says global values have stayed mostly flat despite decent sales and fears over Chinese export blocks. Linville expects a correction later rather than in the next month or two, given strong global demand.
He flags U.S. duties on China, Morocco and Russia limiting North American supply.
Flat values backed by solid spring demand and limited North American import access suggest phosphate prices hold near term, with downside risk later, supporting feed phosphate costs.
stonex.comJosh LinvilleJan 29, 2024stonex.comJosh LinvilleJan 29, 2024Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 151 past bullish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
