
NBHC estimates India's kharif 2019 rice output at about 93.74 million tonnes, down 8% from the prior year, after excess monsoon rains and flooding. Maize is seen 11% lower and several pulses also fell sharply.
A smaller Indian rice and maize crop lowers domestic supply and could tighten prices and reduce exportable surplus for these grains.
After 88 past bullish report events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +2.5% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.