Dollar dented as data disappoints; yen catches a safety bid

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Jun 21, 2023Dollar dips as Powell testimony disappoints hawks-0.0%
• Nov 25, 2025US dollar weakens as data backs Fed rate cut view; yen watch continues-0.6%
• Aug 5, 2024Dollar down as US rate cut bets rise, yen surges-0.4%
• Jul 30, 2021Dollar at 1-month low after Fed knock; US data disappoints - Business & Finance - Business Recorder+0.3%
• Dec 1, 2022Dollar down as Fed minutes, U.S. data weighs-0.6%

After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Dec 1, 2022Dollar down as Fed minutes, U.S. data weighs+1.8%
• Jan 25, 2026Dollar slips across the board as intervention risk lifts yen | Reuters+1.0%
• Oct 31, 2024Dollar Consolidates, Yen Gains After BOJ Decision-1.2%
• Jul 1, 2023Dollar weaker after data burst, euro rises on ECB comments+0.7%
• Mar 7, 2025US dollar sags after weaker-than-expected jobs data, Fed's Powell comments+0.4%