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Brazil's currency and markets came under pressure after Donald Trump was confirmed as US president. The US dollar opened at 3.248 reais, up 2.59 percent, and several analysts forecast further real weakness toward 3.40 to 3.60 per dollar.
Analysts expected a negative impact on the Bovespa stock index.
Analysts expect a weaker real to push up Brazil's import costs and inflation, which may slow monetary easing. For feed buyers, a stronger dollar raises the cost of dollar-priced imported ingredients while supporting Brazilian export competitiveness.
bnamericas.comNov 9, 2016After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Trump's election win on 2016-11-09 triggered a sentiment-driven selloff in emerging-market assets, with USD/BRL opening up about 2.6%, which accounts for much of the move ending 2016-11-10.
Trump's election win on Nov 9 triggered an immediate sell-off in the real (USD opened +2.59% at 3.248), starting the 5-day move via risk-off and EM capital flight sentiment.
The real fell 2.6% against the dollar on 2016-11-09, showing EM currency weakness that contributed to the broad dollar index gain, though it is one currency's view.
