
Rabobank's Samuel Taylor says the coronavirus outbreak could create fertilizer pricing shifts for US farmers this spring. Hubei province, which accounts for nearly 30% of China's phosphate capacity, has seen production fall 30% to 40% year over year, with logistics disruptions compounding the shortfall.
Lower Chinese phosphate output tightens global DAP and MAP supply, which could lift phosphate prices and raise costs for US crop producers heading into planting.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 11 past bullish disease events, DAP moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half 0.0% to +3.3%), and +2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.