Loading…
Wheat prices recovered late in the week of October 24 after SRW and HRW had fallen to multi-year lows on the CBOT, driven by rumors of Chinese buying of U.S. wheat. Algeria made a significantly larger than expected wheat purchase, and frosty forecasts for Argentina added support.
Euronext remained muted, and the U.S. government shutdown left Chinese interest unconfirmed.
Unconfirmed Chinese demand rumors and a large Algerian tender lifted prices, but the abundant global stocks and larger Russian and Australian crops limit the upside.
zmp.deOct 24, 2025After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 102 past bullish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.5%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Rumors of Chinese buying, a larger-than-expected Algerian purchase, and Argentine frost risk began the recovery from multi-year lows, setting up short-covering momentum into Monday.
