ADM reported that wheat markets firmed on strong international trade, tighter global output, and a bullish US stocks report showing 1.78 billion bushels as of Sept. 1.
Canada's principal grain stocks are forecast at a record low after drought, and Brazil scrapped its corn import tax through December.
Tightening exporter supplies and firm trade demand support wheat prices. Brazil's tariff cut should lift its corn imports and draw on global corn supplies.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Firm international trade, tighter global output and record-low Canadian grain stocks after drought reinforced bullish supply-side sentiment for wheat.