
USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service says China's feed demand is down because of African Swine Fever, but the decline is smaller than expected. Feed use is forecast down only about 1% (5 million tons) this marketing year, offset by growth in poultry, egg and fish feed.
Sow inventories posted their first uptick since April 2018 in November.
A smaller-than-feared drop in Chinese feed demand supports soybean meal and corn usage outlooks, limiting downside pressure on feed ingredient prices.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.