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Mohamed El-Erian suggested Brazil could be the next emerging-market currency to fall after Argentina and Turkey. The Brazilian real led major currency losses on Wednesday despite the central bank offering $1.5 billion in extra swap contracts.
Contagion from emerging-market currency stress can weaken the real and push down dollar prices of Brazilian feed exports. Expectations of further weakness could keep pressure on global soy and corn prices.
bloomberg.comBen BartensteinJun 6, 2018After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Real led major currency losses and contagion fears from Argentina and Turkey amplified sentiment-driven selling.
