
Hog futures fell to their lowest levels in more than 15 years after USDA data showed a record 77.6 million hogs as of March 1. April lean hog futures closed at 40.225 cents per pound, the lowest since 2002 for a spot contract.
Analysts doubt consumer demand will absorb the large herd.
A record breeding herd combined with weaker demand from the pandemic creates a large supply overhang that pressures hog prices. Feed buyers may see reduced hog-related feed demand going forward.
After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.