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Brazil's real hit a two-year low against the dollar while Latin American peers gained. The currency slide followed a major truckers' strike and rising concern over October elections, with a poll showing right-wing and leftist candidates leading.
Investors also reacted to increased state intervention at Petrobras.
A weaker real makes Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal cheaper in dollar terms, which can encourage exports and weigh on US and global prices. Political uncertainty also raises the risk of further currency swings.
reuters.comJun 6, 2018After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Two-year low on truckers' strike aftermath, election uncertainty and Petrobras intervention worries drove domestic risk premium higher, weakening the real.
Election uncertainty, the truckers' strike aftermath and Petrobras intervention worries hit sentiment and set up the real's slide to a two-year low.
