A University of Illinois-led study in Global Change Biology found that about 16% of the yield gain from irrigation comes from the cooling effect on crops, separate from the soil water supply. The researchers developed a method to isolate that cooling effect from soil moisture.
Irrigation's value to yields is partly thermal, which matters more as droughts and warming increase. This is a research finding without an immediate effect on supply or prices.
After 2,467 past weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 1,964 past weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.