University of Illinois and USDA-ARS research using a 26-year herbicide trial dataset finds that inadequate late-season weed control caused a 41% soybean yield loss. Even high weed control levels did not prevent significant losses under drought and heat, and herbicide resistance is making complete control harder.
The findings point to structural yield pressure in soybeans from weeds and resistance, which could support soybean yield risk over time, but the effect on current prices is limited.
After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.